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Nvidia expands its empire

Nvidia has agreed to pay nearly $13 billion for Hugging Face, the place where most developers go to find and share AI models. To win approval it has promised, in writing, to keep the platform open to everyone.

Joel Miller

Joel Miller

3 min read
Nvidia expands its empire

Nvidia signed a definitive agreement on 2 September to acquire Hugging Face, the AI model and data hosting platform and developer community, for $12.93 billion, split into roughly $11.9 billion payable to shareholders and an equity retention programme of up to $1 billion for employees joining Nvidia. Completion is expected in the first half of 2027, subject to regulatory clearance.

The strategic logic is consistent with what Nvidia has been doing all year. It has committed around $26 billion over five years to open-weight model development, licensed Poolside's technology for $6 billion, and taken on Groq and Enfabrica. It is already the largest publisher on Hugging Face, with more than 500 models and 250 datasets there, and the Nemotron family follows the same pattern of open weights and open data. Hugging Face adds distribution: 18 million developers, 3 million models, 500,000 datasets and 200,000 companies. Activity on that platform converts into GPU hours, and Nvidia sells GPUs.

But Nvidia still holds more than 80% of the GPU market and controls CUDA, the software layer that makes those chips useful. Adding the main repository for models and datasets gives one company a position at the silicon, software and distribution layers of the same industry. Developer reaction has been mixed, with some on Reddit saying the deal screams monopoly and arguing that the value is control rather than revenue, given Hugging Face turns over roughly $150 million a year. The counter-argument from the same forums is that any degradation of neutrality would push users to alternatives, so Nvidia's incentive is to leave the platform alone.

Nvidia has anticipated the objection. The agreement commits it to keep the platform open, to let developers upload and download models of their choosing, and to support other silicon vendors. Hugging Face's chief executive Clément Delangue described the platform as, almost by definition, a deconcentration platform, one that works against the pull of proprietary APIs rather than for it. Those commitments are contractual, which is unusual, and they will be the basis of the regulatory conversation.

That conversation will be harder than the previous deals. Groq, Enfabrica and Poolside, worth about $27 billion in under a year, were structured as licences plus talent transfers, which let Nvidia argue they did not trigger Hart-Scott-Rodino notification. Senators Warren and Blumenthal wrote to Jensen Huang in March about precisely that. An outright purchase at this size cannot avoid filing with the FTC and DOJ, and a European Phase I review is expected with the possibility of Phase II. Nvidia is also already subject to a DOJ inquiry into its dealings with cloud providers, and recently paused revenue-sharing arrangements with AI cloud firms. The Arm attempt was blocked, though this is a vertical deal rather than a horizontal one, which historically makes clearance more likely.

Takeaways: Nvidia has bought influence over how open models reach developers, and it has accepted written conditions to get it. The useful question for anyone building on open weights is not whether the deal completes, because it probably will, but what the remedies look like. This week's Google advertising ruling ended in behavioural commitments rather than divestiture, and that is the likely template here. If the outcome is a set of promises about openness policed by regulators, the practical resilience of the open ecosystem will depend on whether credible mirrors, registries and multi-vendor tooling exist by 2027. Building them now is cheaper than needing them later.

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